Resilient U.S. economy boosts restaurant industry's recovery

Local Government
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Jeremy Martin President and CEO at the Austin Chamber of Commerce | Chamber Staff, Austin Chamber of Commerce

Restaurant operators have faced significant challenges since 2020, contending with inflation, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages. However, recent trends suggest potential relief for the industry.

In 2023, the U.S. economy showed resilience with stable or growing GDP, employment rates, and consumer spending. The National Restaurant Association reported that 49% of restaurants experienced year-over-year increases in same-store sales.

The Central Texas restaurant industry is thriving within the robust local economy. The Austin-area saw a 20% increase in restaurant openings in 2023 compared to the national average of 10%.

Controlling food costs remains a significant challenge for operators who often need to raise prices due to rising ingredient costs. Despite these price hikes, Texans continue to dine out frequently. According to the Austin Business Journal, Austin’s culinary sector contributed approximately $9.6 billion to Texas's $107 billion economy in 2023. Restaurants are encouraged to implement strategies like offering both affordable meals and luxury options to cater to diverse customer bases.

Data from point-of-sale (POS) systems is crucial for managing inventory and launching new menu items. Operators use this data to create tailored deals and loyalty rewards programs that can boost short-term spending as indicated by BofA Global Research.

Labor shortages have eased since the pandemic but remain an issue. In November 2023, full-service restaurant employment levels were still 4% below February 2020 figures according to the National Restaurant Association. To address these shortages, operators are adopting advanced technologies such as AI-driven drive-thru operations and increasing wages along with enhancing benefits packages.

Technological solutions have become vital for restaurant operations with IT budgets doubling since March 2020 according to BofA Global Research. While technology aids in recovery, it also heightens cybercrime risks including credit card fraud and compromised POS systems.

Despite recent difficulties, the restaurant industry appears to be regaining stability. Operators who effectively implement adaptive strategies will likely be well-positioned for growth.

© 2024 Bank of America Corporation

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